Trade Trail
- Negative expectancy per signal
Across 53 closed signals Trade Trail won 18.9% of trades with an average result of -0.24% per signal (-12.64% cumulative). Worst peak-to-trough drawdown: 29.16%.
Sample signal
This is how Trade Trail signals look in the channel. Below are the original messages, unedited, next to our parse and the verified outcome.
Trades in the last 30 days
- profit
- loss
- open position
Over the last 30 days Trade Trail took 57 trades across 16 assets: ETH, BTC, AEVO, DYDX, VET. 8 of 49 closed trades were profitable (16%). Net result -18.38%, average -0.38% per trade.
Best trades: ANKR long +8.58%, AEVO long +7.76%, VET short +4.51%. Worst outcomes: DYDX long -3.11%, BTC short -2.59%, ICP long -2.58%. The largest gain was +8.58% on ANKR long (closed 13 Sep), the deepest loss -3.11% on DYDX long.
Positions running now: ZIL long (8 Oct), ROI short (8 Oct), BNB short (7 Oct).
All trades (57)
| Entered | Asset | Direction | Closed | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZIL | long | β | open | |
| ROI | short | β | open | |
| AEVO | long | +7.76% | ||
| AEVO | short | -2.28% | ||
| BNB | short | β | open | |
| VET | short | +4.51% | ||
| VET | short | -2.52% | ||
| BTC | short | β | open | |
| VET | long | -1.90% | ||
| ETH | long | -0.58% | ||
| AEVO | long | -1.38% | ||
| BTC | long | -0.25% | ||
| AEVO | short | -1.47% | ||
| ATOM | long | -1.38% | ||
| BTC | short | β | open | |
| ETH | long | -0.63% | ||
| ETH | long | -0.71% | ||
| CRV | long | -1.01% | ||
| KAVA | long | -0.68% | ||
| BTC | long | β | open | |
| BTC | long | -0.36% | ||
| ETH | long | -1.34% | ||
| DYDX | long | -1.20% | ||
| ZIL | long | -0.48% | ||
| ETH | long | -2.15% | ||
| AEVO | short | -2.06% | ||
| BTC | short | +2.62% | ||
| DYDX | long | -0.88% | ||
| IOST | long | -2.11% | ||
| ETH | long | -1.01% | ||
| ATOM | long | -2.19% | ||
| BTC | short | -2.59% | ||
| BTC | long | +2.16% | ||
| ATOM | long | -0.98% | ||
| VET | long | -2.19% | ||
| BTC | long | +2.09% | ||
| DOGE | long | +4.26% | ||
| ETH | short | -0.44% | ||
| BTC | long | -1.36% | ||
| ETH | short | β | open | |
| BTC | short | -0.30% | ||
| CTSI | long | -2.20% | ||
| ETH | short | +1.99% | ||
| ETH | long | -0.34% | ||
| ETH | short | -0.49% | ||
| ANKR | long | +8.58% | ||
| ETH | short | -0.82% | ||
| DYDX | long | -1.92% | ||
| ICP | long | -1.21% | ||
| ETH | long | -1.43% | ||
| ICP | long | -2.58% | ||
| ICP | short | -0.49% | ||
| ETH | short | β | open | |
| ETH | short | -0.57% | ||
| BTC | short | -0.37% | ||
| DYDX | long | -3.11% | ||
| ETH | short | -0.39% |
Trades on the chart
Arrows mark entries, dots mark exits with the result; green is profit, red is loss. Hourly candles, UTC.
Typical trade
- First target after
- 1h 55m
- Move captured
- 57%
- Winners held
- 20h 30m
- Losers held
- 17h
- Average win / loss
- +4.13% / -1.25%
- Drawdown before profit
- -0.82%
Median time from entry to the first target is 1h 55m. Winning trades first went against the position by -0.82% on average and reached +7.43% at best.
When the provider performs
Number = closed trades; green = average profit, red = average loss. Pale cells have fewer than 3 trades. Time in UTC.
| Weekday | 00β04 | 04β08 | 08β12 | 12β16 | 16β20 | 20β24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tue | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| Wed | 1 | 3 | 2 | |||
| Thu | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ||
| Fri | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | ||
| Sat | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ||
| Sun | 1 | 4 |
Closed-signal copy simulation from $1,000
Model: up to 1.0% of realized balance at risk including execution costs. Position size is capped by leverage and shared available margin; profits are reinvested after closing. Excluded: 0 without a valid stop, 0 without a valid entry, 0 without available margin. 0 positions reduced by the margin limit.
Crypto: leverage up to 10Γ, fee 0.055% per side, round-trip spread 0.000%, round-trip slippage 0.020%.
Approximation using closed signals only. Open positions, funding, swaps and intratrade margin calls are not modeled. Costs are estimates; broker conditions may differ.
Sum of signal price returns
Sum of realized signal price returns, without leverage, costs or compounding. This is not an account return.
Honesty check
What the channel reported versus what the market did.
- False result claims
- No result claims checked yet
- Levels edited after entry
- 1
- Signals edited after close
- 0
- Signals deleted by the channel
- 0 (0.0%)
- Edited signals
- 1.5%
Risk profile
- Avg win / loss
- +4.13% / -1.25%
- Avg planned R:R
- 1 : 2.13
- TP1 hit rate
- 77.4%
- Win / loss streak
- 2 / 21
- PnL volatility
- Β±2.45%
- Sharpe-like ratio
- -0.10
- Avg holding time
- 2d 59m
Recent vs all-time
| Period | Closed signals | Win Rate | Avg PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 days | 49 | 16.3% | -0.38% |
| Last 90 days | 53 | 18.9% | -0.24% |
| All time | 53 | 18.9% | -0.24% |
Performance slices
Entry type
Holding time
Weekday
Traded assets
| Asset | Closed signals | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 7.1% | -0.64% | -0.40R | |
| 9 | 33.3% | +0.18% | +0.19R | |
| 7 | 28.6% | +0.34% | +0.16R | |
| 5 | 0.0% | -1.54% | -0.58R | |
| 4 | 25.0% | -0.53% | -0.22R | |
| 4 | 25.0% | +0.06% | +0.12R | |
| 3 | 0.0% | -1.52% | -0.34R | |
| 1 | 100.0% | +8.58% | +2.43R | |
| 1 | 0.0% | -2.11% | -0.49R | |
| 1 | 0.0% | -2.20% | -1.00R |
Recent Signals
| Date | Asset | Direction | Entry | Result | PnL | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct, 13:50 |
ROI
|
short | Market | Open | β | |
| 8 Oct, 12:18 |
AEVO
|
long | 0.02760 | TP | +7.76% | |
| 8 Oct, 11:26 |
AEVO
|
short | 0.02670 | SL | -2.28% | |
| 7 Oct, 12:12 |
BNB
|
short | 768.00 | Open | β | |
| 6 Oct, 16:59 |
VET
|
short | 0.008600 | TP | +4.51% | |
| 5 Oct, 16:05 |
VET
|
short | 0.008600 | SL | -2.52% | |
| 5 Oct, 16:03 |
BTC
|
short | 85,300.00 | Open | β | |
| 5 Oct, 12:25 |
VET
|
long | 0.008840 | SL | -1.90% | |
| 5 Oct, 02:58 |
DOGE
|
long | 0.09620 | Invalidated | +0.00% | |
| 4 Oct, 10:07 |
ETH
|
long | 2,701.00 | SL | -0.58% | |
| 3 Oct, 18:44 |
AEVO
|
long | 0.02700 | SL | -1.38% | |
| 3 Oct, 12:55 |
BTC
|
long | 84,850.00 | SL | -0.25% | |
| 2 Oct, 15:28 |
AEVO
|
short | 0.02680 | SL | -1.47% | |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 |
ATOM
|
long | 1.7460 | SL | -1.38% | |
| 2 Oct, 06:08 |
BTC
|
short | 86,000.00 | Open | β |