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RSI Triple Divergence from Extreme Zone

D08 · v1 Divergence SOLUSDT BTCUSDT ETHUSDT

Rules

  1. Signal on the close of a candle, entry at the open of the next one.
  2. Regular divergence between price and RSI(14): pivots 5/5 bars, 5–60 bars apart. The signal fires when the last pivot is confirmed, 5 bars after it.
  3. Triple divergence: three consecutive pivots, each pair diverging — price makes two lower lows (higher highs for shorts) while the oscillator makes two higher lows (lower highs). The signal fires when the third pivot is confirmed.
  4. Only when the first pivot is outside 30–70: RSI below 30 for a long (oversold), above 70 for a short (overbought).
  5. Long on bullish divergence (price lower low, oscillator higher low); short on bearish.
  6. Stop-loss beyond the last pivot by 0.5 × ATR(14).
  7. Take-profit at 2 R.
  8. Exit on the close of bar 30 if neither level is hit.
  9. An opposite signal closes the trade at the next open and reverses.
  10. If stop and target are both touched in one candle, the stop counts.
  11. Fees 0.1% per side, slippage 0.05% on market fills.

The idea

The strictest of the family: three consecutive diverging pivots, and the first of them printed in the oversold (RSI < 30) or overbought (RSI > 70) zone. A long, stretched move that fails to make progress three times.

Signals are rare by construction. The page shows every one of them, so you can judge each setup on the chart rather than trust a percentage.

PRICE RSI 30 70 target 2R stop entry
Schematic, not real data: amber dots are pivots, dotted verticals the bars where each pivot becomes known; entry after the last one. Shorts are the mirror image. Green band: the zone below 30 the first pivot must start from.

Chart

Pick a trade in the table to centre the chart on it. Hollow circles are pivots where they formed; filled ones mark the bar the pivot became known — the signal can only fire there.

Results

Trades 100
Win rate 34%
Profit factor 0.954
Avg R -0.27R
Net P&L -20.84%
Max drawdown −49.56%
Buy & hold +3,981.75%
Avg duration 15sa 38dk
Side Trades Win rate Profit factor Avg trade Net P&L Max drawdown
All 100 34% 0.954 -0.09% -20.84% −49.56%
Long 39 38.46% 1.595 +1.12% +40.46% −25.13%
Short 61 31.15% 0.571 -0.87% -43.64% −52.51%

Monthly P&L

Year Oca Şub Mar Nis May Haz Tem Ağu Eyl Eki Kas Ara Year
2026 -6.80% -3.51% -2.92% · -1.00% -0.18% -1.97% · · · · · -15.43%
2025 -3.36% · -1.20% -2.21% · -2.31% +4.18% -8.88% -8.11% · +3.57% +1.86% -16.06%
2024 -3.49% +3.48% +6.53% -2.88% +0.98% · -0.13% -2.42% · -2.37% +1.59% -0.81% +0.03%
2023 -2.54% · -3.77% -2.46% -2.07% -4.86% -2.26% · +2.99% -4.73% · -2.72% -20.49%
2022 +10.77% -3.38% -3.74% · +31.35% · -13.87% -4.59% -5.13% · +17.18% · +23.62%
2021 +8.44% +12.58% +11.19% -18.51% · -11.87% +1.66% -0.61% +7.76% -2.48% -0.92% +2.14% +4.75%
2020 · · · · · · · +1.48% · · · +6.66% +8.24%

Three real trades from the backtest

Best winner · #31

Long from 2022-05-12 12:00 to 2022-05-13 14:00: take-profit, +25.20% (+1.98R).

Worst loser · #70

Long from 2025-03-29 08:00 to 2025-03-29 08:00: stop-loss, -0.33% (-4.14R).

Borderline case · #4

Short from 2021-01-27 05:00 to 2021-01-28 10:00: timeout, +0.21% (+0.03R).

By timeframe

TF Trades Win rate Profit factor Net P&L Max drawdown
1w 0 Yok Yok +0.00% −0.00%
1d 4 50% 1.286 +0.34% −34.38%
4h 24 37.5% 0.841 -15.65% −26.61%
1h 100 34% 0.954 -20.84% −49.56%

Where it breaks

On 1h the strategy did worst (-20.84% over 100 trades); the best timeframe was 1d (+0.34%). Buy & hold over the same history: +3,981.75%.

Very few trades — on higher timeframes sometimes none at all. Any statistic here is anecdotal, and one bad trade moves the result a lot.

Common beginner mistakes

  • Stacking filters until the backtest looks good: every extra condition removes trades and adds room for luck. Here the filters are fixed in advance and shown with the trade count.
  • Ignoring timing: the signal comes after the third pivot is confirmed, often far from the extreme.
  • Using it alone: with so few signals it is a rare event to watch for, not a system that trades every week.

Open now

No open position on the last closed candle.

Trades · 100

# Side Entry Stop Target Exit Result Net R Bars Show
100 Short 2026-07-20 08:00
76.1819
77.4915 73.5626 2026-07-20 15:00
77.5303
Stop-loss -1.97% -1.15R 8
99 Short 2026-06-22 07:00
73.6831
75.3528 70.3438 2026-06-23 06:00
70.3438
Take-profit +4.34% +1.91R 24
98 Long 2026-06-04 16:00
69.6748
66.8247 75.3751 2026-06-05 04:00
66.7913
Stop-loss -4.33% -1.06R 13
97 Long 2026-05-19 00:00
85.4227
83.1335 90.0011 2026-05-20 05:00
84.7376
Timeout -1.00% -0.37R 30
96 Short 2026-03-25 11:00
92.5937
93.3703 91.0405 2026-03-25 11:00
93.4170
Stop-loss -1.09% -1.30R 1
95 Long 2026-03-08 22:00
82.3011
80.9827 84.9381 2026-03-08 22:00
80.9422
Stop-loss -1.85% -1.15R 1
94 Short 2026-02-15 04:00
88.5557
89.3475 86.9722 2026-02-15 04:00
89.3921
Stop-loss -1.15% -1.28R 1
93 Long 2026-02-02 11:00
102.9414
96.5133 115.7977 2026-02-03 16:00
100.6796
Timeout -2.39% -0.38R 30
92 Long 2026-01-21 22:00
131.1255
124.6677 144.0412 2026-01-23 03:00
128.6956
Timeout -2.05% -0.42R 30
91 Short 2026-01-12 22:00
138.7506
145.1168 126.0182 2026-01-13 22:00
145.1893
Stop-loss -4.85% -1.06R 25
90 Short 2025-12-04 03:00
145.5272
147.0274 142.5268 2025-12-04 12:00
142.5268
Take-profit +1.86% +1.81R 10
89 Short 2025-11-11 08:00
163.8980
172.1650 147.3641 2025-11-12 13:00
160.6503
Timeout +1.78% +0.35R 30
88 Long 2025-11-05 03:00
156.2081
143.8710 180.8821 2025-11-06 08:00
159.2603
Timeout +1.75% +0.22R 30
87 Long 2025-09-24 10:00
211.0855
203.4514 226.3537 2025-09-25 04:00
203.3497
Stop-loss -3.86% -1.07R 19
86 Long 2025-09-23 08:00
219.1095
211.8392 233.6500 2025-09-24 03:00
211.7333
Stop-loss -3.56% -1.07R 20
85 Short 2025-09-14 08:00
246.2768
250.3152 238.1999 2025-09-15 07:00
238.1999
Take-profit +3.08% +1.88R 24
84 Short 2025-09-13 06:00
241.5592
244.8465 234.9845 2025-09-14 01:00
244.9689
Stop-loss -1.61% -1.19R 20
83 Short 2025-09-10 13:00
223.3083
223.9892 221.9464 2025-09-10 13:00
224.1012
Stop-loss -0.56% -1.82R 1
82 Short 2025-09-09 13:00
217.5312
220.7568 211.0799 2025-09-10 07:00
220.8672
Stop-loss -1.74% -1.17R 19
81 Short 2025-08-25 08:00
199.7101
215.5211 168.0881 2025-08-26 13:00
189.4947
Timeout +4.92% +0.62R 30
80 Short 2025-08-25 00:00
205.8870
213.5202 190.6206 2025-08-25 02:00
213.6269
Stop-loss -3.96% -1.07R 3
79 Short 2025-08-10 07:00
181.0194
185.7038 171.6508 2025-08-11 02:00
185.7966
Stop-loss -2.84% -1.10R 20
78 Short 2025-08-05 16:00
163.6881
172.7974 145.4695 2025-08-06 21:00
168.1340
Timeout -2.92% -0.52R 30
77 Long 2025-08-02 04:00
164.4522
158.0559 177.2448 2025-08-02 18:00
157.9769
Stop-loss -4.13% -1.06R 15
76 Short 2025-07-23 05:00
201.5492
207.7999 189.0477 2025-07-23 13:00
189.0477
Take-profit +6.01% +1.94R 9
75 Short 2025-07-22 18:00
202.7486
205.7289 196.7880 2025-07-22 23:00
205.8317
Stop-loss -1.72% -1.17R 6
74 Short 2025-06-16 13:00
155.2024
158.3946 148.8179 2025-06-16 19:00
158.4738
Stop-loss -2.31% -1.12R 7
73 Short 2025-04-25 05:00
150.8146
153.7625 144.9187 2025-04-25 06:00
153.8393
Stop-loss -2.21% -1.13R 2
72 Long 2025-03-30 04:00
125.7629
122.0043 133.2799 2025-03-31 09:00
123.8580
Timeout -1.71% -0.57R 30
71 Long 2025-03-29 17:00
125.3526
123.6250 128.8080 2025-03-29 21:00
123.5631
Stop-loss -1.62% -1.18R 5
70 Long 2025-03-29 08:00
126.4532
126.3528 126.6540 2025-03-29 08:00
126.2896
Stop-loss -0.33% -4.14R 1
69 Long 2025-03-11 06:00
123.3416
110.5033 149.0183 2025-03-12 11:00
126.6966
Timeout +2.51% +0.24R 30
68 Short 2025-01-17 18:00
216.4017
221.9966 205.2120 2025-01-18 02:00
222.1076
Stop-loss -2.84% -1.10R 9
67 Long 2025-01-10 22:00
187.8439
182.7243 198.0831 2025-01-12 03:00
187.2163
Timeout -0.53% -0.20R 30
66 Short 2024-12-29 12:00
196.0020
197.0930 193.8198 2024-12-29 14:00
197.1916
Stop-loss -0.81% -1.45R 3
65 Short 2024-11-08 16:00
200.8795
205.6377 191.3632 2024-11-09 21:00
198.4292
Timeout +1.02% +0.43R 30
64 Short 2024-11-08 02:00
198.1909
198.9491 196.6743 2024-11-08 02:00
196.6743
Take-profit +0.57% +1.48R 1
63 Short 2024-10-13 15:00
145.3673
148.4376 139.2267 2024-10-13 22:00
148.5118
Stop-loss -2.37% -1.12R 8
62 Long 2024-08-28 23:00
143.6118
140.4888 149.8577 2024-08-29 18:00
140.4185
Stop-loss -2.42% -1.11R 20
61 Short 2024-07-17 07:00
161.1294
164.7673 153.8536 2024-07-18 12:00
161.0205
Timeout -0.13% -0.06R 30
60 Short 2024-05-18 09:00
173.2333
174.3919 170.9162 2024-05-18 09:00
174.4791
Stop-loss -0.92% -1.38R 1
59 Short 2024-05-07 14:00
153.2733
160.1785 139.4630 2024-05-08 19:00
145.5527
Timeout +4.84% +1.07R 30
58 Short 2024-05-03 19:00
141.5192
145.1095 134.3386 2024-05-04 04:00
145.1821
Stop-loss -2.79% -1.10R 10
57 Long 2024-04-26 06:00
144.8424
141.0194 152.4883 2024-04-26 22:00
140.9489
Stop-loss -2.88% -1.09R 17
56 Long 2024-03-20 11:00
171.6258
159.8130 195.2513 2024-03-21 00:00
195.2513
Take-profit +13.54% +1.97R 14
55 Short 2024-03-15 07:00
179.1304
189.7188 157.9535 2024-03-16 04:00
189.8137
Stop-loss -6.17% -1.04R 22
54 Short 2024-02-19 21:00
112.0140
115.4925 105.0569 2024-02-20 15:00
105.0569
Take-profit +6.02% +1.94R 19
53 Short 2024-02-09 14:00
105.8770
106.8219 103.9873 2024-02-09 21:00
106.8753
Stop-loss -1.14% -1.28R 8
52 Short 2024-02-09 08:00
105.2274
106.2922 103.0977 2024-02-09 09:00
106.3453
Stop-loss -1.26% -1.25R 2
51 Short 2024-01-27 08:00
91.1644
94.1112 85.2709 2024-01-27 23:00
94.1582
Stop-loss -3.49% -1.08R 16
50 Short 2023-12-09 05:00
74.1229
75.9484 70.4719 2023-12-09 06:00
75.9864
Stop-loss -2.72% -1.10R 2
49 Short 2023-10-17 14:00
23.6682
24.7320 21.5405 2023-10-18 19:00
23.7119
Timeout -0.38% -0.09R 30
48 Long 2023-10-10 23:00
22.1711
21.5862 23.3409 2023-10-12 01:00
21.5754
Stop-loss -2.88% -1.09R 27
47 Short 2023-10-02 12:00
23.8181
24.9900 21.4743 2023-10-03 17:00
24.1321
Timeout -1.52% -0.31R 30
46 Long 2023-09-27 20:00
18.9795
18.6762 19.5861 2023-09-28 15:00
19.5861
Take-profit +2.99% +1.87R 20
45 Short 2023-07-07 22:00
21.3493
21.7786 20.4907 2023-07-07 22:00
21.7895
Stop-loss -2.26% -1.13R 1
44 Long 2023-06-06 18:00
20.1801
19.2476 22.0450 2023-06-07 14:00
19.2380
Stop-loss -4.86% -1.05R 21
43 Long 2023-05-10 00:00
20.6703
20.2928 21.4254 2023-05-10 17:00
20.2827
Stop-loss -2.07% -1.13R 18
42 Short 2023-04-12 19:00
24.1879
24.7222 23.1193 2023-04-13 12:00
24.7345
Stop-loss -2.46% -1.11R 18
41 Long 2023-03-09 04:00
18.5993
17.9436 19.9107 2023-03-09 18:00
17.9346
Stop-loss -3.77% -1.07R 15
40 Short 2023-01-03 13:00
11.8241
12.0944 11.2835 2023-01-03 14:00
12.1004
Stop-loss -2.54% -1.11R 2
39 Long 2022-11-22 17:00
11.8859
10.8509 13.9561 2022-11-23 19:00
13.9561
Take-profit +17.18% +1.97R 27
38 Long 2022-09-15 00:00
34.1371
32.4658 37.4796 2022-09-15 15:00
32.4495
Stop-loss -5.13% -1.05R 16
37 Long 2022-08-28 00:00
31.5458
30.8226 32.9921 2022-08-28 23:00
30.8072
Stop-loss -2.54% -1.11R 24
36 Long 2022-08-16 04:00
43.6818
42.8665 45.3124 2022-08-16 05:00
42.8451
Stop-loss -2.11% -1.13R 2
35 Short 2022-07-29 11:00
42.9885
44.5297 39.9060 2022-07-30 13:00
44.5520
Stop-loss -3.84% -1.07R 27
34 Short 2022-07-16 01:00
36.8216
39.2321 32.0006 2022-07-16 16:00
39.2517
Stop-loss -6.81% -1.04R 16
33 Long 2022-07-12 15:00
34.1471
32.9004 36.6404 2022-07-12 19:00
32.8840
Stop-loss -3.89% -1.07R 5
32 Long 2022-05-27 23:00
41.3507
40.2915 43.4690 2022-05-28 15:00
43.4690
Take-profit +4.91% +1.92R 17
31 Long 2022-05-12 12:00
43.9620
38.3686 55.1487 2022-05-13 14:00
55.1487
Take-profit +25.20% +1.98R 27
30 Short 2022-03-29 18:00
110.3248
116.3904 98.1936 2022-03-30 13:00
116.4486
Stop-loss -5.76% -1.05R 20
29 Short 2022-03-25 10:00
103.0185
105.3207 98.4140 2022-03-25 16:00
98.4140
Take-profit +4.27% +1.91R 7
28 Short 2022-03-17 19:00
88.9855
90.5853 85.7858 2022-03-17 19:00
90.6306
Stop-loss -2.05% -1.14R 1
27 Long 2022-02-19 17:00
90.7654
87.9193 96.4575 2022-02-20 03:00
87.8753
Stop-loss -3.38% -1.08R 11
26 Long 2022-01-24 16:00
87.5237
79.8250 102.9212 2022-01-25 21:00
92.7836
Timeout +5.80% +0.66R 30
25 Long 2022-01-19 14:00
136.8584
131.8295 146.9162 2022-01-20 19:00
139.8600
Timeout +1.99% +0.54R 30
24 Long 2022-01-07 21:00
139.7999
131.3822 156.6353 2022-01-09 02:00
143.8081
Timeout +2.66% +0.44R 30
23 Long 2021-12-30 05:00
170.6653
168.6650 174.6658 2021-12-30 07:00
174.6658
Take-profit +2.14% +1.83R 3
22 Short 2021-11-05 02:00
244.2778
251.6623 229.5089 2021-11-06 07:00
246.0430
Timeout -0.92% -0.31R 30
21 Short 2021-10-22 19:00
200.8495
217.1121 168.3245 2021-10-24 00:00
197.1885
Timeout +1.62% +0.20R 30
20 Short 2021-10-22 11:00
202.7886
210.4693 187.4270 2021-10-22 13:00
210.5746
Stop-loss -4.04% -1.07R 3
19 Short 2021-09-23 23:00
147.9560
153.8408 136.1863 2021-09-24 09:00
136.1863
Take-profit +7.76% +1.95R 11
18 Short 2021-08-18 20:00
73.3013
82.2320 55.4400 2021-08-20 01:00
73.6508
Timeout -0.68% -0.06R 30
17 Short 2021-08-17 08:00
73.9850
75.4279 71.0991 2021-08-17 10:00
71.0991
Take-profit +3.70% +1.90R 3
16 Short 2021-08-07 16:00
38.4698
40.8643 33.6806 2021-08-08 21:00
38.0320
Timeout +0.94% +0.15R 30
15 Short 2021-08-05 19:00
37.0455
38.5833 33.9699 2021-08-06 14:00
38.6026
Stop-loss -4.41% -1.06R 20
14 Long 2021-07-17 16:00
26.5463
25.7623 28.1143 2021-07-18 21:00
27.0405
Timeout +1.66% +0.56R 30
13 Long 2021-06-22 04:00
27.9860
25.1815 33.5950 2021-06-22 08:00
25.1689
Stop-loss -10.25% -1.02R 5
12 Short 2021-06-07 07:00
43.9350
44.4949 42.8153 2021-06-07 14:00
42.8153
Take-profit +2.35% +1.85R 8
11 Short 2021-06-06 22:00
42.3538
43.9672 39.1270 2021-06-07 06:00
43.9892
Stop-loss -4.07% -1.07R 9
10 Short 2021-04-08 14:00
26.3802
28.4170 22.3066 2021-04-09 09:00
28.4312
Stop-loss -7.98% -1.03R 20
9 Short 2021-04-04 12:00
23.6712
24.8884 21.2367 2021-04-04 13:00
24.9008
Stop-loss -5.40% -1.05R 2
8 Short 2021-04-04 04:00
22.7664
24.1601 19.9791 2021-04-04 06:00
24.1721
Stop-loss -6.38% -1.04R 3
7 Long 2021-03-26 08:00
14.0134
12.1486 17.7431 2021-03-27 13:00
15.6123
Timeout +11.19% +0.84R 30
6 Short 2021-02-24 07:00
15.6097
16.8064 13.2164 2021-02-24 12:00
16.8148
Stop-loss -7.93% -1.03R 6
5 Long 2021-02-07 10:00
6.3799
5.6614 7.8168 2021-02-08 15:00
7.8168
Take-profit +22.28% +1.98R 30
4 Short 2021-01-27 05:00
3.8538
4.1283 3.3047 2021-01-28 10:00
3.8379
Timeout +0.21% +0.03R 30
3 Short 2021-01-05 01:00
2.4223
2.5240 2.2188 2021-01-05 03:00
2.2188
Take-profit +8.21% +1.95R 3
2 Short 2020-12-30 02:00
1.6379
1.7534 1.4068 2020-12-31 07:00
1.5256
Timeout +6.66% +0.94R 30
1 Long 2020-08-20 02:00
3.0193
2.7648 3.5284 2020-08-21 07:00
3.0703
Timeout +1.48% +0.18R 30

Spec v1 · engine 1.1.0 · 53,630 candles 2020-08-11 — 2026-09-24 15:00 · data hash 2628595eb9a5

Binance spot data. The coin list is today's, so delisted coins are missing (survivorship bias is not corrected).

Educational material, not investment advice. Past results of a mechanical strategy do not predict future results.